BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 2A Class Rank: 6 Conference: (8-6) Overall: (14-10) Overall Strength =   95.72

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Away    L    95.96  47   68   4A    1 (25- 1) Iowa City High         -0.06    -20.94                      
  2 11/30/2007 Home    L    79.60  32   59   3A    2 (24- 3) Dubuque Wahlert       -16.42    -10.58                      
  3 12/04/2007 Home    L *  84.58  38   61   4A    6 (19- 4) Bettendorf            -11.45    -11.55                      
  4 12/07/2007 Away    W * 101.10  46   44   4A   23 (15- 8) Pleasant Valley         5.08     -3.08                      
  5 12/08/2007 Home    W    93.23  55   35   EX   54 ( 0- 2) Orion IL               -2.80     22.80                      
  6 12/14/2007 Away    W *  99.18  57   41   4A   41 ( 6-15) Davenport West          3.16     12.84                      
  7 12/15/2007 Neutral L    96.02  43   46   EX   16 ( 1- 0) Moline IL              -0.00     -3.00                      
  8 12/18/2007 Away    L * 103.30  50   59   4A    4 (23- 3) Davenport Central       7.27    -16.27                      
  9 12/21/2007 Away    L *  91.09  54   57   4A   27 (12-10) Eldridge North Scott   -4.94      1.94  was 12/11 now 12/21 
 10 01/04/2008 Away    W *  96.34  50   36   4A   46 ( 5-16) Burlington              0.31     13.69                      
 11 01/08/2008 Away    W *  99.75  58   39   4A   44 ( 2-20) Davenport North         3.73     15.27                      
 12 01/11/2008 Away    L *  99.45  50   62   4A    6 (19- 4) Bettendorf              3.42    -15.42                      
 13 01/12/2008 Home    W    99.89  53   35   4A   39 ( 4-17) CR Washington           3.86     14.14  was 12/01 now 01/12 
 14 01/18/2008 Away    W *  99.89  48   39   4A   33 ( 8-14) Clinton                 3.86      5.14                      
 15 01/22/2008 Away    W *  90.17  35   32   4A   38 ( 8-14) Muscatine              -5.85      8.85                      
 16 01/25/2008 Home    W *  97.24  45   43   4A   23 (15- 8) Pleasant Valley         1.21      0.79                      
 17 02/01/2008 Home    L *  81.22  53   62   4A   27 (12-10) Eldridge North Scott  -14.81      5.81                      
 18 02/02/2008 Home    W *  95.89  68   49   4A   44 ( 2-20) Davenport North        -0.14     19.14                      
 19 02/08/2008 Home    L *  98.43  60   70   4A    4 (23- 3) Davenport Central       2.41    -12.41                      
 20 02/13/2008 Neutral W   102.99  72   37   2A   83 ( 5-15) Durant                  6.96 *   28.04                      
 21 02/14/2008 Neutral W   117.17  79   41   2A   45 (12-10) Wilton                 21.14     16.86                      
 22 02/19/2008 Neutral W    94.88  56   54   2A   10 (19- 4) Tipton                 -1.14      3.14                      
 23 02/23/2008 Neutral W    98.43  53   46   2A   14 (17- 6) Wellman Mid-Prairie     2.40      4.60                      
 24 03/03/2008 Neutral L    88.81  53   69   2A    3 (24- 2) Pella Christian        -7.22     -8.78                      
      Averages              96.02  52.3 49.3

Best game:  117.17 = 38 point win over Wilton
Worst game:  79.60 = 27 point loss to Dubuque Wahlert
Team stdev:   7.78